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The
Malay Peninsula and indeed Southeast Asia has been a
center for trade for centuries. Various items such
as porcelain and spice were actively traded even
before Malacca and Singapore rose to prominence.
In the 17th century, large deposits of tin were
found in several Malay states. Later, as the British
started to take over as administrators of Malaya,
rubber and palm oil trees were introduced for
commercial purposes. |
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Over time, Malaya became the world's largest producer of tin, rubber and palm
oil. These three commodities along with
other raw materials firmly set Malaysia's
economic tempo well into the mid-20th
century.
In the 1970s, Malaysia imitated the footsteps of the
original four Asian Tigers and committed itself to a
transition from being reliant on mining and
agriculture to an economy that depends more upon
manufacturing. With Japan's assistance, heavy
industries flourished and in a matter of years,
Malaysian exports became the country primary growth
engine. Malaysia consistently achieved more than 7%
GDP growth along with low inflation in the 1980s and
the 1990s.
During the same period, the government tried to
eradicate poverty with a controversial
race-conscious program called New Economic Policy (NEP).
A healthy economic environment helped drive Malaysia
to upgrade its infrastructures and indulge in many
huge national projects such as Putrajaya,
a new international airport (Kuala Lumpur
International Airport) and a hydroelectric dam (Bakun
dam). Despite the prosperity of the 90s, certain
factions within Malaysia were worried that the
government was spending beyond its means. That
concern became more than apparent when the Asian
Financial Crisis hit in 1997.
The year 1997 saw the drastic changes in local
scenarios. Foreign direct investment fell at an
alarming rate and the Ringgit depreciated substantially
from MYR 2.50 per USD to much lower levels (MYR 4.80 per USD at its
worst) as capital flowed out. The Kuala
Lumpur Stock Exchange's composite index fell
from approximately 1300 to almost
400 points in just a few short weeks. In response, the
Malaysian government imposed capital controls and
pegged the Malaysian Ringgit at 3.80 to the US dollar
while refusing economic aid from International
Monetary Fund (IMF) which came with austere lending
conditions. By refusing aid and thus the conditions
attached thereof from the IMF, Malaysia was not
affected to the same degree in the Asian Financial
Crisis as Indonesia, Thailand and the Philippines.
While scathed for choosing this road
(notably by the US), time proved this
painful decision to (in general) be the
right one.
In order to rejuvenate the economy, massive
government spending was made and Malaysia
continuously recorded budget deficits in the years
that followed. Later, the country enjoyed faster
economic recovery compared to its neighbors though
in many ways, the level of pre-1997 affluence has
yet to be achieved.
The fixed exchange rate regime was abandoned in July
2005 in favor of managed floating system within an
hour of China's announcing of the same move. In the
same week, Ringgit strengthened a few percent
against various major currencies and is expected to
appreciate further.
In September 2005, Sir Howard J. Davies, director of
the London School of Economics, at a meeting Kuala
Lumpur, cautioned Malaysian officials that if they
want a flexible capital market, they will have to
lift the ban on short selling created in 1997. |